Jacksonville, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

246
FXUS64 KLZK 131717
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1117 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 108 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

- Warming temperatures will be seen again across the forecast area
  this afternoon.

- Very dry air, critically dry short-term fuels, and gusty
  southwest winds will keep local wildfire danger elevated again
  this afternoon.

- A cold front on Wednesday will usher in a period of more seasonable
  to cooler than normal temperatures through the end of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 108 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

Not many changes to advertise to the forecast, w/ warming trends
expected thru mid-week prior to the arrival of an initial cdfrnt on
Wed, w/ colder and seasonable temps returning thru the end of the
week.

Recent objective sfc analyses depicted sfc high pressure draped acrs
the Srn Gulf Coast, w/ strong sfc low pressure moving over the Great
Lakes region. Another warm day is on deck for the Natural State, w/
afternoon temps expected to climb to the mid to upper 60s today. In
addition to warmer temps, gusty W-SWrly winds wl overspread the
region, w/ gusts of 20-25 kts possible over much of Nrn AR. This wl
also contribute to an elevated threat of wildfire danger as area
short term fuel moisture remain very dry (generally 10%).

Wed, a strong cdfrnt is expected to sweep acrs the state thru the
day, ushering in more seasonable air to the Srn Cntrl US. Some low-
chc PoPs may accompany the FROPA Wed aftn to evng, mainly acrs Nrn
to NErn AR, but overall rainfall amounts are expected to remain
minimal, generally less than a few tenths of an inch. In the wake of
this frnt, cold morning lows wl overspread the state on Thurs mrng,
w/ area temps in the upper teens to low to mid 20s, and wind chill
values generally in the teens.

Thru the end of the week, cooler and settled weather will prevail as
mean upper troughing stays rooted over the Upper Midwest and Great
Lakes regions, driving broad subsidence over the FA. Per the latest
suite of GFS/ECMWF guidance, another cdfrnt looks to move thru the
Cntrl US on Sat, w/ colder morning temps and wind chills possible on
Sun mrng, e.g., low temps in the mid to upper teens and wind chills
in the single digits acrs Nrn AR.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1115 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

VFR conditions are expected through this afternoon and overnight
Tuesday into Wednesday. A cold front is expected to push through
tomorrow bringing the chance of light rain showers across the
eastern half of the state. Widepsread rain is not expected at this
time. As the cold front moves through Wednesday, a period of MVFR
conditions will be possible as CIGs lower. Additonally gusty NW
winds will be likely with frontal passage.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     66  44  52  23 /   0  60  30   0
Camden AR         64  42  57  26 /   0  10  10   0
Harrison AR       67  42  49  20 /   0  40  10   0
Hot Springs AR    64  44  55  25 /   0  20  20   0
Little Rock   AR  65  44  55  26 /   0  40  40   0
Monticello AR     64  45  57  28 /   0  10  30   0
Mount Ida AR      66  44  55  24 /   0  10  10   0
Mountain Home AR  69  42  49  20 /   0  50  10   0
Newport AR        64  44  52  23 /   0  60  40   0
Pine Bluff AR     65  44  56  26 /   0  20  40   0
Russellville AR   67  43  56  24 /   0  20  10   0
Searcy AR         66  42  54  22 /   0  50  40   0
Stuttgart AR      63  44  54  25 /   0  30  40   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...73